The odds are stacked against the Blue Jays

With the exception of the start of the current campaign, the Toronto Blue Jays haven't faced much adversity this season, resulting in a 94-68 record, the American League Eastern Section title and a relatively easy Division Series against the New York Yankees.

But that's no longer the case, far from it, as the Blue Jays head to Seattle with a 0-2 deficit in the American League Championship Series after losing by a score of 10-3 in Game Two at the Rogers Centre.

Granted, the Jays are known for being a resilient team, their 49 wins after trailing in 2025 being a Major League Baseball high, but staying alive will be far from easy.

Indeed, in the history of the MLB playoffs, teams that have taken a 2-0 lead in any four-of-seven series have won their duel 78 times out of 93, or 83.9% of the time. Furthermore, in series with the current 2-3-2 format, teams that won games one and two on the road won the series 24 times out of 27 (88.9%).

In postseason history, teams taking a 2-0 lead in any best-of-seven series have gone on to take that series 78 of 93 times (83.9%)

In series with the current 2-3-2 format, teams winning both Games 1 and 2 on the road have prevailed in the series 24 of 27 times (88.9%) https://t.co/6AgsX49kC3

– Sarah Langs (@SlangsOnSports) October 14, 2025

The last team to overcome a 0-2 deficit in a best-of-seven series was the Arizona Diamondbacks, who did so against the Philadelphia Phillies in the 2023 National League Championship Series. The last team to do so after losing the first two games at home was the New York Yankees, who accomplished the feat against the Atlanta Braves in the 1996 World Series.

To add insult to injury, the Mariners will give the Blue Jays no further reason to believe, sending George Kirby and Luis Castillo to the mound for games three and four in Seattle.

Nothing is impossible, but it won't be a smooth ride.

This content was created with the help of AI.