“There’s a 35% chance that Matthews or Nylander will leave Toronto this summer”

With the Leafs' struggles this season, questions are starting to surface ahead of this summer.
What's the plan in Toronto? Could players like Auston Matthews, William Nylander, Matthew Knies, and Morgan Rielly be traded?
Things could get busy in the Queen City… 

Bryan Hayes and Jonas Siegel, who host the Overdrive show on TSN, agree: there's a 35% chance of seeing Matthews OR Nylander leave Toronto this summer.
The argument goes like this: the Leafs could capitalize on their market value to secure a solid return and begin the much-discussed rebuild that's starting to feel necessary in Toronto.
And that's not crazy.

“I'd say there's a 35% chance one of them won't be in Toronto.”

Hayes and Jonas give their Gerry's Percentages that either Auston Matthews or William Nylander will be traded in the offseason. #LeafsForever pic.twitter.com/dmwAuJBeGD
— OverDrive (@OverDrive1050) March 19, 2026

The Leafs find themselves in a somewhat precarious position.
They have good players on the roster… but the team has no top-tier prospects (aside from Easton Cowan) and they have no picks in the first two rounds of the upcoming draft.

To remedy the situation, they need to trade a key player.
And James Mirtle, a columnist for The Athletic, believes there is a scenario in which Matthews is the one moving on. But the player has to be open to that idea as well:

James Mirtle: I think the Auston Matthews math isn't great already; I think he really wants to see in the offseason what's going on here and how [the Leafs think they're] gonna turn this around… I think that's where it's at — JD Bunkis Podcast (3/17)
— NHL Rumour Report (@NHLRumourReport) March 19, 2026

Something needs to happen in Toronto.

We need to find a way to turn things around because right now, the team's results are unacceptable. Maybe it would be different if the club could count on an 80-90-point winger like Mitch Ma…
Hehe.
But seriously, it's time for some things to change in Toronto. And it'll be interesting to see what happens next…

In a nutshell
– Wow!

Big news in the hockey world pic.twitter.com/684aNtsoTH
— DansLesCoulisses (@DLCoulisses) March 19, 2026
— Good news.

Good news from the @ArmadaBLB: Xavier Villeneuve will make his return to action tomorrow against the Olympiques in Gatineau.
He'll be able to play two games before the start of the playoffs, all after missing two and a half months of action.#QMJHL
— Cédrik Blondin (@cedrikblondin) March 19, 2026

— We like that.

The beautiful game pic.twitter.com/l7YufBZVsh
— /r/Habs (@HabsOnReddit) March 19, 2026