The Canadiens are closing in on the playoffs with very favorable odds

With about a month left in the NHL regular season, the Montreal Canadiens seem to be increasingly in control of their own destiny in the race for the playoffs. According to the latest statistical projections, the Habs have a very good chance of making the playoffs.

According to the specialized website MoneyPuck, Montreal currently has an 87.7% chance of making the playoffs. For his part, hockey analyst JFresh is even more optimistic, estimating the Canadiens' odds at 91%.

Playoff Odds – March 15https://t.co/WtmCOa0EkL pic.twitter.com/BgS5HF9JbX
— JFresh (@JFreshHockey) March 15, 2026

Playoff chances as of Sunday https://t.co/RbnckCLHNP pic.twitter.com/WqWY8tOeRK
— MoneyPuck.com (@MoneyPuckdotcom) March 15, 2026

These numbers clearly show that the team led by Martin St-Louis is in a favorable position, but that the work is not yet done.

Even though the odds are encouraging, the competition remains fierce in the Eastern Conference. A few losses could quickly allow the chasing teams to close the gap, making every game crucial from here on out.

The Canadiens will therefore need to continue earning crucial points to officially secure their spot among the eight qualifying teams.

Models such as MoneyPuck and JFresh use several factors—including recent performance, goal differential, the quality of remaining opponents, and win probabilities—to simulate thousands of possible scenarios.

The fact that two different models place Montreal above the 85% threshold shows that the team's recent performance has a real impact on their chances.
Despite their solid run this season, the Canadiens face the league's 7th-toughest schedule from here on out. With several games against top-ranked teams and little recovery time between matches, every point counts.
This series of demanding matchups could take a toll on their pace and stamina, but it also represents an opportunity to prove their resilience and solidify their playoff spot. The coming weeks will therefore be decisive for Montreal. The team will need to maintain its momentum, continue to get contributions from all three lines, and stay disciplined defensively.

If the Canadiens can maintain this consistency, they could not only secure their playoff spot but also enter the postseason with growing confidence. For fans, the idea of seeing playoff hockey at the Bell Centre is becoming increasingly realistic.

In a nutshell – Impressive!

David Jiricek with 3 assists last night, including assists on the game-tying goal and the overtime game-winner. https://t.co/QRK5WylYT7
— Allan Walsh (@walsha) March 15, 2026
– Interesting.

Following the trade rumors involving Toronto Maple Leafs left winger Matthew Knies and the Montreal Canadiens, here are some notable trades that involved two division rivals in recent history: https://t.co/fluowWxZfT
— The Hockey News (@TheHockeyNews) March 15, 2026
— Incredible!

Sam Anas connects with Alex Limoges for his 86th point of the season! Just 4 points left to tie the KHL record! pic.twitter.com/icrGyaqKRT
— KHL (@khl_eng) March 15, 2026
– Phew!

The Italian job: Phillies, not Italy, deciding when Nola can pitch next in WBC : ⁦@AntSanPhilly⁩ https://t.co/UCBrMXAhmH
— OnPattison (@OnPattison) March 15, 2026