Why isn't Kyle Tucker in Toronto?
Many believe that the outfielder didn't really want to sign in Toronto. After all, Toronto had been on his case since the start of the off-season, and the long-term offer was on his table.
But, as in most cases, it's important to remember that money often drives these deals.
According to Joel Sherman of the New York Post, if the Blue Jays had offered more than $35 million a year ($350 million in all), they would have had a real chance of signing the player.
“Tucker did have a long-term offer – 10 years at $350M from the Blue Jays. If Toronto increased the AAV, it would have had a real shot at closing a deal. But the $35M average apparently was a limit for the Blue Jays, so as not to exceed the $35.7M average of Guerrero's deal .” https://t.co/65tFJ7hTm7
– Brandon Wile (@Brandon_N_Wile) January 20, 2026
It's worth noting that $35M is slightly less than the $35.7M Vladimir Guerrero Jr. earns on average per year. So I'm not surprised to learn that the Blue Jays offered Tucker less than Vladdy.
The Mets, however, offered Tucker more than Juan Soto ($55M) and the Dodgers signed Tucker for $60M, while Shohei Ohtani's deferred money brings the value of his contract to just over $46M.
But the difference is that the Blue Jays were offering a long-term contract, not a four-year deal with opt-outs.
While I think the Blue Jays could have upped their offer if necessary, you have to keep in mind that with the luxury tax penalties, the $35M offered to Tucker would have cost the club more than that, in the end. In the short term, that's one thing. But in the long term?
But the reality is that the Blue Jays must also have realized, at some point, that there was no point in increasing their offer. Why not? Because the path of short-term, high-priced offers made sense for the outfielder.
Steve Cohen, at one point, was even certain he'd succeeded in signing Tucker. Buster Olney talked about it in his podcast.
https://t.co/ksn0eYCGf1 pic.twitter.com/mjtPlMk2ge
– W҉E҉S҉T҉ (@StlllWest) January 19, 2026
The Mets owner, who entered the derby in earnest recently, didn't really know that the Dodgers were seriously in the mix. The latter were working in the shadows and it worked.
That's why Cohen made his famous tweet, a few hours before Tucker's announcement in L.A. He thought, at the time, that he'd really succeeded in luring the player to the Big Apple.
Let me know when you see smoke
– Steven Cohen (@StevenACohen2) January 15, 2026
This is why you shouldn't sell the bear before you've killed it: Cohen looked thick telling people to keep an eye on the file… only to escape the player in the end.
We can also assume that he was seeing red after dropping the former Astros and Cubs player… and that's why he turned around and gave Bo Bichette $42 million a year, even if he doesn't improve the defense (a goal of the Mets in 2026) of his club in the short term.

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– Kyle Schwarber (@kschwarb12) January 20, 2026
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We begin counting down the Top 20 on Wednesday
pic.twitter.com/M7RnejVtP2
– MLB Network (@MLBNetwork) January 20, 2026
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– Jomboy Media (@JomboyMedia) January 20, 2026
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